Celtics -10 against the Bucks, and the market's number keeps shrinking.

The Celtics opened as 14.5-point favorites. They're now laying 10 at home against a Milwaukee team that's lost six of seven. The market probability, margin removed, sits at Boston 78% and Milwaukee 22%. That's a big number, but it's not a 70% Godds number, so this space stays open.

Boston's case is simple: 4-0 at home, 115.0 points per game, and a 3-1 record in the last four meetings with Milwaukee. The Celtics are 4-2 on the moneyline and 4-2 on the over/under, but just 2-4 against the spread. That 33% cover rate is the crack in the door for anyone looking at the other side.

Milwaukee's case is the number itself. The Bucks are 1-6 and allowing 124.1 points per game, but they're 4-1 on the over/under and 2-3 against the spread. They've already beaten Boston once in the last four meetings, 116-101 on December 11. The spread has moved four and a half points toward Milwaukee, and the moneyline has crashed from -1099 to -460. Sharp money is on the Bucks, even if the record isn't.

The total has also moved, from 226 to 221.5. Milwaukee's over/under record is 4-1, Boston's is 4-2, yet the number is falling. That's the market telling you something about pace or injuries. Devin Carter is out for Boston, which doesn't help the home side's depth.

Best prices: Boston moneyline -435 at BetAnything, Milwaukee +410 at Everygame. Spread: Boston -10 (-110) at BetAnything, Milwaukee +10 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 221.5: over -110 and under -110, both at BetAnything.

Godds has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at BetAnything.