Timberwolves get 8.5 in Houston, where the market sees 74%.

The Rockets are 7-1 and 4-0 at home, and the market prices them as a 74% favorite with the margin removed. Houston is -8.5 on the spread and -346 on the moneyline. Minnesota is 5-3 and 2-2 on the road, and the oddsmakers still respect the Wolves enough to keep this line moving their way. This is a number bettors have to read for themselves.

The case for Houston is simple: 7-1 overall, 4-0 at home, a 2-game win streak, and an ATS record of 5-1-0 at an 83% cover rate. The Rockets score 119.3 a night and allow 106.4, and they're shooting 49.8% from the field. Steven Adams is out or doubtful at center, but Houston's record says the machine keeps running. The moneyline record is 5-1, and the home crowd has seen nothing but wins.

The case for Minnesota is that the Wolves are also 5-1-0 ATS at 83%, also scoring 119.0 a night, and they won the last meeting 110-108 on March 25. Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo are out or doubtful, which is the obvious weight on this side. But the Wolves allow 107.6, close to Houston's 106.4, and they've covered five of six. The line has already moved toward them, from -9.5 to -8.5, and the moneyline has come from -373 to -346.

That movement is the story. The total sits at 220.5 with no significant move. Best prices: Houston -324 at MyBookie.ag, Minnesota +285 at Bovada. Spread: Houston -8.5 (-110) and Minnesota +8.5 (-110), both at Bovada. Total: Over -110 and Under -110, both at MyBookie.ag.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's no call to make. Whatever your read is, the best number is waiting for you.