Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Spurs 122, Suns 96: the favorite covers with ease
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: San Antonio Spurs -9 (moneyline -385)
- Market probability (margin removed): Phoenix Suns 24%, San Antonio Spurs 76%
- Line since opening: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 → -9 · Total 226 → 226
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Phoenix Suns +312 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- San Antonio Spurs -370 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
Spread
- Phoenix Suns +9 (-103) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- San Antonio Spurs -9 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Total 226
- Over -107 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Final: San Antonio Spurs 122, Phoenix Suns 96
Against the closing line: San Antonio Spurs won and covered -9 · Total 218, under 225.5
Game Recap
San Antonio Spurs 122, Phoenix Suns 96.
The Spurs brought their league-best form into Phoenix and turned a nine-point close into a 26-point rout. San Antonio's defense, allowing just 108.1 a night, smothered the Suns while the offense cruised past its 118.4 average. Phoenix never found an answer for a team riding an 8-game win streak and a perfect road record. The market gave Phoenix a 24% chance to win; the Spurs made that look generous.
Against the numbers, San Antonio covered -9 with room to spare, and the total of 218 finished well under 225.5.
Pre-Game Analysis
San Antonio comes into Phoenix as the hottest team in the league and the market's clear favorite. The Spurs are -9 at most books, with a moneyline around -385. The market gives Phoenix a 24% chance to win, San Antonio 76%. That's the number to beat, and it's a big one on the road.
San Antonio's case is simple: an 8-2 record, an 8-game win streak, and a perfect 4-0 on the road. The Spurs score 118.4 a night and allow just 108.1. They've won 8 of 9 moneyline decisions. The spread has been a different story: they're just 4-5 ATS, so they've been winning but not always covering. Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance are out or doubtful, which thins the frontcourt.
Phoenix's case: the Suns are 3-2 at home and riding a 2-game win streak after a rough stretch. They score 112.4 but give up 118.6, which is why the market is skeptical. The Suns are just 1-3 ATS and 1-3 on the moneyline. Jordan Goodwin and Mark Williams are out or doubtful. The best argument for Phoenix is the head-to-head: the Suns won two of the last four meetings, including a 130-118 win on Nov 2. They've scored on this Spurs defense before.
The line opened at Spurs -7.5 and has climbed to -9, with moneyline money moving toward San Antonio (+290 to +298 on Phoenix). The total sits at 226 with no significant movement. Best prices: Phoenix ML +312 at BetUS, San Antonio ML -370 at MyBookie.ag. Spread: Phoenix +9 (-103) at BetOnline.ag, San Antonio -9 (-110) at BetAnything. Total: Over -107 at BetOnline.ag, Under -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you're playing it, the best number is the one that matches your read.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 6:45 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns: FAQ
Who is favored in San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?+
San Antonio Spurs: -9 on the spread and -385 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 76%.
What are the best odds for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?+
When this analysis was written: Phoenix Suns +312 at BetUS and San Antonio Spurs -370 at MyBookie.ag on the moneyline; Phoenix Suns +9 (-103) at BetOnline.ag and San Antonio Spurs -9 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -107 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 226. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened San Antonio Spurs -7.5 and was -9 when this analysis was written; the total opened 226 and was 226.
Does GODDS have a pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
San Antonio Spurs 122, Phoenix Suns 96.
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