Jazz get 7 in Dallas, and the market sits at 71 percent.

Utah brings a six-game losing streak into Dallas on Friday, and the market still prices the Mavericks as a 71 percent favorite with a -7 spread. That gap is the whole story of this game. The Jazz are 1-7, 0-3 on the road, and giving up 119.0 points per game. Dallas is 4-4 and 2-2 at home, but the books aren't asking whether the Mavericks are good. They're asking whether Utah can stay within a touchdown.

The case for Dallas runs through the defensive end. Utah scores 107.8 per game and shoots 42.9 percent from the field, the kind of number that lets a home team control a game without playing its best basketball. Dallas shoots 46.9 percent and covers at a 67 percent clip, 4-2-0 against the number. The Mavericks are on a two-game skid, but they've been the better team on both ends all season.

The case for Utah is simpler: the Jazz have won two of the last three meetings in this series, including a 140-133 track meet in December and a 116-114 result in January. Dallas won the last one 144-122, but Utah has shown it can score with this team. The Jazz also get a Mavericks frontcourt missing Dereck Lively II and Santi Aldama, with Tarik Biberovic and Sergio de Larrea also out or doubtful. Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Trey Alexander, so both rosters are thin.

The line hasn't budged. Dallas opened -7 and sits at -7, and the total holds at 227.5. Best price on the Mavericks spread is -7 (-105) at Bovada, and the Jazz are +7 (-115) at Bovada. Moneyline: Dallas -280 and Utah +230, both at Bovada. On the total, the over is -115 and the under -105, both at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70 percent in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at Bovada and BetOnline.ag.