Cavaliers -9.5 against the Wizards, and the market's number is holding.

Cleveland hosts Washington Wednesday night with the Cavaliers priced as a -9.5 favorite and -400 on the moneyline. The market gives Cleveland a 76% chance with the margin removed, leaving Washington 24%. That's a big number, and it's the whole story of this game: how much of that gap is real, and how much is the schedule.

Cleveland's case is loud. The Cavaliers are 2-1 and 2-0 at home, riding a 2-game win streak, scoring 119.3 PPG. They've won all four recent meetings with Washington, including a 148-115 blowout on Nov 7 and a 138-113 result on Feb 11. They're also 2-0 on the moneyline this season. The catch: Cleveland is 0-2 ATS, so the market has been ahead of them, and they're without Nae'Qwan Tomlin and Khalifa Diop.

Washington's case is quieter but real. The Wizards are 2-2 and 1-1 on the road, scoring 114.3 PPG and allowing 114.5, nearly even. They've covered in 2 of 4 games, and the spread already moved from -10 to -9.5, toward them. They're missing Justin Champagnie, AJ Dybantsa, Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins, so depth is the question, not effort.

The total opened at 237.5 and sits at 239, and Cleveland is 2-0 on overs this season. Best prices: Cleveland moneyline -370 at BetUS, Washington +320 at BetAnything. Both spread sides are -110 at BetAnything, and the total of 239 is Over -110 / Under -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in its model. Whatever your read is, BetAnything has the best number on both spread sides and the total, and BetUS has the shortest price on the favorite's moneyline.