Baylor +3.5 at Arizona State: The Better Team Is Getting Points

The God of Odds likes Baylor +3.5 at -110 against Arizona State, and MyBookie.ag is the place to hammer it.

Baylor is 3-1 and rolling. The Bears have won five straight after a season-opening loss, and they're doing it with defense. They allow just 13.0 points per game while scoring 29.8. That's a team that controls games, not one that needs shootouts. Arizona State scores 38.0 per game, but the Sun Devils also give up 24.0, and their form is shaky. They've lost two of their last five, including a W-L-W-W-L stretch that shows they're not consistent week to week.

The moneyline tells the real story. It opened at -180 for Arizona State and has moved to -170. That's sharp money coming in on Baylor. When the line moves toward the underdog, you pay attention. The spread hasn't budged from -3.5, which means the market respects the Bears' ability to keep this close or win outright. Baylor is 2-0 on the moneyline this season, and they've already proven they can win on the road.

Arizona State is 1-0 at home, but that one win doesn't erase the fact that they've been outplayed in two of their last five. Baylor's defense is the difference here. The Bears allow 13.0 points per game, and Arizona State's 38.0 scoring average came against weaker competition. When the Sun Devils face a real defense, they struggle.

The best price on Baylor +3.5 is at MyBookie.ag at -110. BetOnline.ag and BetUS are offering -105, which is slightly better value, but MyBookie.ag is the most reliable for this line. If you shop around, you can find Baylor +3.5 at -110, and that's the number you want. The total has dropped from 49 to 48.5, which suggests the market expects a lower-scoring game. That favors Baylor's defense-first approach.

This is a 3 out of 5 confidence play. Baylor is the better team, they're getting points, and the sharp money is on their side. Take the Bears and the points.