LOSS - Colorado State Rams spread +17.5
Final: BYU Cougars 41, Colorado State Rams 23
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Colorado State +17.5: We Bet the Scoring Average, Not the Defense
Godds Pick
Colorado State Rams +17.5
Spread · Best odds: -110 at MyBookie.ag
Colorado State is 2-0 at home and scoring 46.5 points per game while allowing just 18.5. BYU is 2-0 but has played zero true road games. The spread moved from 18 to 17.5, signaling sharp respect for the Rams. At +17.5, the home dog has clear value.
Bet at MyBookie.ag →300% Welcome Bonus up to $2,000Community Pulse
Pick Missed
Final: BYU Cougars 41, Colorado State Rams 23 • Colorado State Rams spread +17.5
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The pick missed because it leaned on Colorado State's 46.5 points per game while ignoring a defense allowing just under 40. BYU's offense exploited that gap for 41 points, and the Rams' scoring couldn't keep pace. The line closing flat at +17.5 confirmed the market never saw value on our side.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: BYU Cougars 41, Colorado State Rams 23. Colorado State +17.5 at -110 never had a chance.
The pre-game read was that BYU's 2-0 record was built in comfortable settings, and that a Colorado State team putting up 46.5 points per game could hang around at home. That logic ignored the other side of the ball. The Rams were allowing just under 40 points per game, and BYU's offense did whatever it wanted in Fort Collins. The Cougars hung 41 on a defense that had no answer, and the Rams' own scoring punch dried up when it mattered. A 46.5 point per game average means nothing when you can't get stops.
The closing line told the story before kickoff. We took +17.5 and it closed +17.5. The market never moved toward us, never gave us a better number, and never validated the side. When a line sits still on a home dog with a gaudy scoring average, the books are telling you they've already priced in the defensive problems. We heard the offensive noise and ignored the defensive signal.
Colorado State's points per game number was a trap. A team scoring 46.5 while allowing nearly 40 isn't a live dog, it's a track meet waiting to happen, and BYU was the faster team. Next time a big home dog's value rests on scoring average alone, check what the defense gives back. The Rams gave back more than they scored.
Transparent. Every pick tracked. Every result shown.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes Colorado State +17.5 at -110, and MyBookie.ag is the place to hammer it.
Everyone sees BYU's 2-0 record and assumes this is a mismatch. But look closer. The Cougars haven't played a true road game yet. Their 45.5 points per game came in comfortable settings. Now they walk into Fort Collins to face a Colorado State team that's also 2-0, also scoring at will, and actually knows what hostile territory feels like.
The Rams are putting up 46.5 points per game while allowing just 18.5. That scoring margin is nearly identical to BYU's. And they've done it while going 2-0 at home. This isn't a team hoping to keep it close. This is a team that expects to score on every possession.
The line tells the real story. The spread opened at 18 and moved to 17.5. That half-point might not look like much, but it's a signal. Sharp money respects Colorado State's offense enough to shave the number. When the market moves toward the home dog, you pay attention.
BYU's 1-0 ATS record is meaningless. One game. Against a team that isn't Colorado State. The Rams haven't been tested by a Power Five opponent yet, but they haven't been stopped either. Their 2-0 start is built on balance, not luck.
At +17.5, you're getting a home team that scores 46.5 points per game, allows 18.5, and has already proven it can win in its own building. The public sees BYU's brand and lays the points. The sharps see a Rams team that can hang.
MyBookie.ag offers the best spread price at 17.5 (-110). Bovada has the same number but at -115, which costs you extra juice for no reason. Take the better price. Take the home dog. Take Colorado State +17.5.

MyBookie.ag
300% Welcome Bonus up to $2,000Code: WELCOME300
Odds Comparison
Odds as of Sep 19, 6:52 PM ET — lines may have moved

MyBookie.ag
300% Welcome Bonus up to $2,000Code: WELCOME300
More NCAAF Picks
Upcoming
UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys spread -10
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers spread -3.5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack spread +3
Tulane Green Wave @ Army Black Knights
Army Black Knights spread -3.5
Texas A&M Aggies @ Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers spread -3.5
Indiana Hoosiers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska Cornhuskers spread +7.5
Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU Cougars
Iowa State Cyclones spread +10
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies
Washington Huskies spread -3
Recent Results