Cincinnati +7 at Arizona is the number the market keeps handing out

The God of Odds likes Cincinnati +7 at -110, and MyBookie.ag is the place to hammer it. Arizona is laying a full touchdown to an undefeated team, and the market has been quietly telling you it's wrong all week.

Start with what Cincinnati has actually done. The Bearcats are 4-0 and have won all five of their last five, a run built on an offense putting up 40.5 points per game while the defense holds opponents to 20.5. That's a plus-20 scoring margin. Arizona is 3-1, scoring 32.0 and allowing 19.0, and the Wildcats wobbled in their last five with a W-L-W-W-L stretch. The raw scoring gap between these two offenses is 8.5 points per game. You don't hand a touchdown to the team on the right side of that number.

The line movement backs it up. The moneyline opened at -290 and has been bet down to -250, which is sharp money landing on Cincinnati to win this game outright, never mind the points. The total moved from 55.5 to 56, another sign the market expects this one to stay close and get loose. When the ML shortens on the underdog and the spread holds at -7, the books are daring you to take the favorite. Don't.

Arizona is 2-0 at home, and that's the entire case for laying the number. But home-field advantage doesn't erase an 8.5-point scoring differential, and it doesn't explain why the sharps keep hitting the Bearcats' side. Cincinnati hasn't lost yet. The Wildcats have.

Take the points. MyBookie.ag has Cincinnati +7 at -110, and that's the best price on the board for this side. BetOnline.ag is dealing -7 at -105 on Arizona, which tells you where the value sits. Grab the touchdown while it's still there, because if the moneyline keeps moving, this spread won't stay at -7 for long.