Packers -3.5 against the Panthers, and the line keeps sliding.

The Packers opened as 7-point favorites and now sit at -3.5, with the market giving Green Bay a 64% chance after removing the margin. That's a number worth watching, because the money has moved hard toward Carolina all week. The total climbed from 45.5 to 47.5, and the moneyline ticked from -200 to -195 with sharp action on the Panthers. This is a Thursday night game where the market is telling you something, and bettors should listen.

Green Bay's case: the Packers are 3-2-1 against the spread, covering 60% of their games, and they're 2-1 at home. Their defense allows 20.7 points per game, and they've held opponents to 20.6 points per game themselves. The Packers have a winning record at 4-3 and a moneyline record of 3-3. But they're on a one-game losing streak and have key injuries: guard Sean Rhyan, center Jacob Monk, and linebacker Zaire Franklin are out or doubtful. Defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt and receiver Matthew Golden are questionable. That's a lot of missing pieces.

Carolina's case: the Panthers are 3-3 and 2-1 on the road, scoring 26.5 points per game. They're also 3-2 against the spread, covering 60% of their games. Their moneyline record is 3-2. They're on a one-game losing streak too, but their offense has been more productive than Green Bay's. Left tackle Taylor Moton is out, and linebacker Jaelan Phillips and cornerback Akayleb Evans are questionable. The Panthers have moved the line from -7 to -3.5, and the sharp money is on their side.

The number: the spread moved from -7 to -3.5, and the total from 45.5 to 47.5. Best prices: Packers -3.5 (-110) at BetAnything, Panthers +3.5 (-105) at Bovada. Moneyline: Packers -195 at BetAnything, Panthers +170 at Bovada. Total 47.5: Over -110 at BetAnything, Under -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game because no side reaches 70% in its model. The market says 64% Green Bay. If you have a read, the best number is out there.