Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Lions -3.5 vs Packers: Detroit's price is climbing, Green Bay's isn't.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Detroit Lions -3.5 (moneyline -190)
- Market probability (margin removed): Detroit Lions 63%, Green Bay Packers 37%
- Line since opening: Detroit Lions -3.5 → -3.5 · Total 52.5 → 53.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Detroit Lions -183 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Green Bay Packers +165 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- Detroit Lions -3.5 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-107) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 53.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
The Lions host the Packers as -3.5 favorites with the moneyline at -190, and the market gives Detroit a 63% chance with the margin removed. Green Bay sits at 37%. That's a real gap for a divisional game, and it's the number bettors have to wrestle with before kickoff.
Detroit's case is built on scoring. The Lions put up 32.8 points per game and allow 29.6, and they're 2-0 at home with a 3-2 record overall. They've won their last game and their last ten reads W-L-W-L-W-W-L-W-L-W. The concern is a defense missing Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph in the secondary, plus Cade Mays at center. The 2-3 ATS record says the market has been ahead of them.
Green Bay's argument is form and balance. The Packers are 4-2, riding a 3-game win streak, and 2-1 on the road. They score 21.2 and allow 20.8, a tighter profile than Detroit's shootout style. Their last ten is L-W-L-W-W-W-W-W-L-W, and they've covered 50% of their games. The injury list is heavy: Micah Parsons, Zaire Franklin, Javon Hargrave, and Jonathan Ford are all out or doubtful, with Aaron Banks questionable.
The spread hasn't moved off -3.5, but the moneyline went from -165 to -190, sharp money on Detroit. The total climbed from 52.5 to 53.5. Best prices: Detroit ML -183 at MyBookie.ag, Green Bay ML +165 at BetAnything. Spread: Detroit -3.5 (-110) at BetAnything, Green Bay +3.5 (-107) at BetOnline.ag. Total 53.5: Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.

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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: FAQ
Who is favored in Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?+
Detroit Lions: -3.5 on the spread and -190 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 63%.
What are the best odds for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?+
When this analysis was written: Detroit Lions -183 at MyBookie.ag and Green Bay Packers +165 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Detroit Lions -3.5 (-110) at BetAnything and Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-107) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 53.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Detroit Lions -3.5 and was -3.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 52.5 and was 53.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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