Bills -7 vs Chargers. The market finally caught up, and I'm still laying it.
Godds Pick
Buffalo Bills -7
Spread · Best odds: -110 at MyBookie.ag
Buffalo is 2-0 straight up and 2-0 against the spread while averaging 38.5 points per game. Los Angeles is 0-2 with a 14.0 PPG offense, and the line has moved from -4.25 to -7 with sharp money on the Bills.
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The God of Odds likes the Buffalo Bills -7 at -110, and MyBookie is the place to hammer it. This number opened at -4.25 and has been pounded all the way to -7. The sharps didn't wait around, and neither should you.
Buffalo is 2-0 straight up and 2-0 against the spread. The Bills are putting up 38.5 points per game while allowing 31.0, and they've won four straight dating back to last season. That's an offense that scores on demand and a home crowd that turns September afternoons into a track meet. When a team covers 100% of its games and wins 100% of its moneylines, you don't overthink it.
Los Angeles is the opposite story. The Chargers are 0-2 straight up, 0-2 against the spread, and 0-2 on the moneyline. They're scoring 14.0 points per game and giving up 26.0. That's a touchdown-and-a-half gap per week, and now they walk into Orchard Park with seven players listed as out or doubtful. Trey Pipkins III and Kayode Awosika are offensive line losses. David Njoku and Charlie Kolar are two tight ends gone. Dalvin Tomlinson and Elijah Molden are defensive starters missing. That's not depth trouble, that's a roster bleeding at every level.
Buffalo has injury concerns too. T.J. Sanders and Jordan Hancock are out, and Ed Oliver, Keon Coleman, DJ Moore, and Ar'maj Reed-Adams are questionable. But here's the difference: the Bills have the quarterback and the scoring margin to absorb it. The Chargers don't have either.
The line move tells the story. Buffalo's moneyline went from -330 to -340. The spread climbed 2.75 points. The total ticked up to 50, which means the market expects points, and points favor the team averaging 38.5 of them.
MyBookie has the Bills at -7 (-110). BetUS and BetOnline are hanging -7.5, which means you're paying extra juice for a hook you don't need. Take the flat seven at MyBookie and let the better team do the rest.

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Odds as of Sep 26, 10:18 AM ET — lines may have moved

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