Rams -3 at Raiders, and the market's number keeps shrinking.

The Rams are favorites on the road, but the market's confidence is fading. Los Angeles opened -6.5 and sits at -3, with the moneyline at -175. The market probability, margin removed, gives the Rams 61% and the Raiders 39%. That's a long way from the 70% threshold Godds requires for a pick.

The Raiders have the better record at 3-3 and a 5-1 ATS mark, covering 83% of their games. They score 27.0 points per game and allow 27.0. They've lost three straight, but the spread has moved toward them anyway. The injuries are real: Dont'e Thornton Jr. and Carter Runyon are out or doubtful, and Mike Washington Jr. is questionable. Still, the number has moved from +6.5 to +3, and the moneyline has shortened from +197 to +151. The market is telling you something.

The Rams are 2-4 and 1-4 ATS, covering just 20% of their games. They score 22.5 points per game and allow 23.0. They've lost two straight and have a long injury list: Nate Landman, Myles Garrett, Kobie Turner, Poona Ford, Terrance Ferguson, Davante Adams, and Blake Grupe are out or doubtful. Trent McDuffie and Puka Nacua are questionable. The case for the Rams is that they're still favored by a field goal, and the market gives them a 61% chance. The case against them is everything else on that injury report.

The total sits at 48.5 and hasn't moved. The best prices: Raiders moneyline +153 at BetOnline.ag, Rams -175 at BetAnything. On the spread, Raiders +3 (+100) at BetAnything, Rams -3 (-110) at MyBookie.ag. Over 48.5 at -107 on BetOnline.ag, under at -110 on BetAnything.

Godds has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.