Lions -3 at home against the Patriots, and the market keeps moving.

The Detroit Lions host the New England Patriots with a 6-2 record, a perfect 4-0 mark at home and a four-game win streak. The market has made Detroit a -3 favorite after opening at a pick'em, with the moneyline at -150. Strip out the margin and the market gives Detroit 58% and New England 42%. That's a real edge in price, not a lock.

The case for Detroit is simple: the Lions score 27.8 points per game and allow 23.6, they've won four straight, and they're 6-2 on the moneyline. But the injury report is heavy. Cade Mays, D.J. Reed, Kerby Joseph, Jack Campbell, Jimmy Rolder and Isiah Pacheco are out or doubtful, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable. Detroit is 4-4 against the spread, so the market has already priced some of that in.

The case for New England is the number itself. The Patriots are 5-4, score 23.4 and allow 23.0, and they're getting a field goal plus a hook at some books. They're 3-4-1 against the spread, which isn't a selling point, but they're 5-2-1 on the total and they've had two weeks to get healthy. TreVeyon Henderson and Carlton Davis III are out or doubtful, and Rhamondre Stevenson and A.J. Brown are questionable, so the health edge isn't clean either.

The line moved from 0 to -3 and the moneyline went from -115 to -150, which tells you where the sharp money sat. The best price on Detroit's moneyline is -150 at BetAnything; New England's best is +134 at BetUS. On the spread, Detroit -3 is +100 at BetAnything and New England +3 is -115 at Everygame. The total sits at 49.5 with no movement; the best over price is -108 at Bovada and the best under is -105 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.