Anaheim Ducks ML vs Edmonton Oilers: 7 injuries for Edmonton is too much to overcome

The God of Odds likes the Anaheim Ducks on the moneyline at +122 and Pinnacle is the place to hammer it. Confidence is a 4 out of 5. This is a strong play.

Let's start with the obvious: Edmonton is absolutely decimated by injuries. Seven players are out or doubtful including Leon Draisaitl, Adam Henrique, and Max Jones. That's their entire second line and a key defender. Anaheim? Just two injuries, neither of which is a core piece. The Oilers are a shell of themselves.

Now look at the recent head-to-head. Two nights ago, these same teams played and the Ducks won 6-4. That wasn't a fluke. Anaheim's scoring is 3.3 PPG and they allow 3.5, but Edmonton's defense is even worse without Draisaitl driving possession. The Ducks are 24-13 at home, a solid record that shows they protect their barn.

Save percentage edge matters in hockey. Anaheim's .887 versus Edmonton's .855 is a real gap. That means the Ducks are getting better goaltending night in and night out. Combine that with Edmonton missing seven bodies and you've got a recipe for an upset at plus money.

Pinnacle has the best ML price at +122. That's better than the consensus +115 at most books. The spread is 1.5 but why take the risk when you can get the Ducks to win outright at a nice number? The line hasn't moved much, which tells me sharp money isn't pounding Edmonton despite their 41-30-11 record. Smart bettors know this is a fade spot.

Anaheim has the form, the home ice, the goaltending edge, and the injury advantage. At +122, this is a gift. Take the Ducks and thank me later.