Thunder lay 16.5 to the Clippers, and the market keeps pushing.

Oklahoma City hosts Los Angeles on Sunday with the Thunder priced as heavy favorites, and the market is not shy about it. The spread sits at -16.5 after opening at -15.5, and the moneyline has moved from -1300 to -1400. With the margin removed, the market gives Oklahoma City a 90% chance to win. That is the backdrop. The question is whether the number has gone far enough.

The case for Oklahoma City starts with defense. The Thunder are 2-0 and allowing just 94.0 points per game, and they have covered in their only ATS decision this season. They are also 3-0 against the Clippers in the last three meetings, including a 128-110 win in April. The injuries to Otega Oweh, Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber thin the rotation, but the starting core is intact and the home crowd is behind a team on a two-game win streak.

The case for Los Angeles is scoring. The Clippers are putting up 119.0 points per game and shooting 50.9% from the field, a number that keeps them in games even when the defense gives up points. They are 1-0 against the spread this season, and they have the firepower to trade baskets with anyone. The injury list is long, with Bradley Beal, Max Strus, Brandon Ingram and others out or doubtful, but the healthy bodies have produced offense at a high rate.

The number has moved toward Oklahoma City, with the spread climbing a full point and the moneyline shortening. The total has held at 224.5. For the best prices, Bovada has Oklahoma City at -1200 on the moneyline, while BetOnline.ag has Los Angeles at +836. On the spread, BetAnything has Oklahoma City at -16.5 (-110) and BetOnline.ag has Los Angeles at +16.5 (-108). The total is 224.5, with the over at -110 at BetAnything and the under at -105 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.