Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Bucks 116, 76ers 127: the favorite wins but fails to cover
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Philadelphia 76ers -12 (moneyline -600)
- Market probability (margin removed): Philadelphia 76ers 82%, Milwaukee Bucks 18%
- Line since opening: Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 → -12 · Total 234.5 → 236.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Philadelphia 76ers -575 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Milwaukee Bucks +450 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Spread
- Philadelphia 76ers -12 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Milwaukee Bucks +12 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 236.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Final: Milwaukee Bucks 116, Philadelphia 76ers 127
Against the closing line: Philadelphia 76ers won and did not cover -12.5 · Total 243, over 235
Game Recap
Milwaukee Bucks 116, Philadelphia 76ers 127. The 76ers entered as -12 favorites with an 82% market probability, but the Bucks kept it within single digits. Philadelphia's 2-0 start and home-court advantage didn't translate to a cover. Against the numbers: the favorite won outright but did not cover -12.5, and the total of 243 sailed over the closing line of 235.
Pre-Game Analysis
The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday night, and the market has made its stance clear. Philadelphia is a -12 favorite, priced at -600 on the moneyline, with a market probability of 82% after the margin is removed. The total sits at 236.5. This is a game where the number itself is the story, and bettors on both sides have a real case to make.
The case for Philadelphia starts with a 2-0 record and a 2-game win streak, including a 1-0 mark at home. They're scoring 110.0 PPG while allowing just 103.0, and they've won all four of the last meetings between these teams, including a 139-122 blowout on Jan. 27. The 76ers are 3-3 against the spread in their own database, but the head-to-head record is a clean 4-0 in their favor.
The case for Milwaukee is built on scoring volume and a market that's moving their way. The Bucks are putting up 120.5 PPG, even if they're allowing 130.0. They're 0-2 and riding a 2-game losing streak, but the line has already shifted: the spread moved from -12.5 to -12, the moneyline moved from -700 to -600, and the total climbed from 234.5 to 236.5. That's sharp money on Milwaukee and the over, and the Bucks are 1-0 on the over/under this season.
The best prices are scattered. On the moneyline, Philadelphia is -575 at MyBookie.ag and Milwaukee is +450 at BetAnything. On the spread, Philadelphia -12 (-110) at BetAnything and Milwaukee +12 (-105) at Bovada. The total of 236.5 is Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model, so the call is yours. If you're playing the favorite, -575 at MyBookie.ag is the shortest price on the board. If you're on the dog, +450 at BetAnything is the longest.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 24, 1:59 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers: FAQ
Who is favored in Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers?+
Philadelphia 76ers: -12 on the spread and -600 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 82%.
What are the best odds for Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers?+
When this analysis was written: Philadelphia 76ers -575 at MyBookie.ag and Milwaukee Bucks +450 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Philadelphia 76ers -12 (-110) at BetAnything and Milwaukee Bucks +12 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 236.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 and was -12 when this analysis was written; the total opened 234.5 and was 236.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Milwaukee Bucks 116, Philadelphia 76ers 127.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NBA Picks
Recent Results
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Houston Rockets spread +5
Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards
Toronto Raptors spread -6
Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers spread -5.5
Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets spread +2.5
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic
Minnesota Timberwolves spread +1
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder spread -8
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers spread -5
Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers
Phoenix Suns spread +2.5
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers spread -6.5
Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors spread -9.5