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Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

Timberwolves -4 in New Orleans, and the number is already moving.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (moneyline -165)
  • Market probability (margin removed): New Orleans Pelicans 40%, Minnesota Timberwolves 60%
  • Line since opening: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 → -4 · Total 228 → 231

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 231

Minnesota is 6-3 and favored by 4 in New Orleans, with the moneyline at -165. The market gives the Timberwolves a 60% chance with the margin removed, and the Pelicans 40%. That's the number to beat, not a verdict.

The Timberwolves make their case on defense: 107.6 points allowed per game, the best figure in this matchup, and an ATS record of 6-1-0. They're 3-2 on the road and have won two straight. The catch is real: Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo are both listed OUT/DOUBTFUL, and a 6-1 ATS mark built with Edwards doesn't automatically travel without him.

New Orleans is 4-4, 3-2 at home, and riding a four-game win streak. The Pelicans score 121.6 per game and cover at 71% (5-2-0), and they've won one of the last four head-to-head meetings. Yves Missi is OUT/DOUBTFUL at center, which thins the frontcourt against a Minnesota team that already allows the fewest points in this game.

The line tells its own story. The spread opened at Minnesota -5 and sits at -4. The total climbed from 228 to 231. The Pelicans moneyline moved from +160 to +145. Best prices: New Orleans +145 at BetAnything, Minnesota -165 at BetAnything. Spread: Pelicans +4 (-108) at BetOnline.ag, Timberwolves -4 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 231: Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's nothing to endorse. Whatever your read is, the best number is on the board above.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookTimberwolvesPelicansSpreadO/U
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetUS
MyBookie.ag
BetAnything
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-151+151+4.5(-107)230(O-106)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 6, 12:20 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans: FAQ

Who is favored in Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?+

Minnesota Timberwolves: -4 on the spread and -165 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.

What are the best odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?+

When this analysis was written: New Orleans Pelicans +145 at BetAnything and Minnesota Timberwolves -165 at BetAnything on the moneyline; New Orleans Pelicans +4 (-108) at BetOnline.ag and Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 231. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Minnesota Timberwolves -5 and was -4 when this analysis was written; the total opened 228 and was 231.

Does GODDS have a pick for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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