Grizzlies -6 against the Pelicans, and the total is sliding.

GODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

Favorite: Memphis Grizzlies -6 (moneyline -215)
Market probability (margin removed): Memphis Grizzlies 66%, New Orleans Pelicans 34%
Line since opening: Memphis Grizzlies -6 → -6 · Total 235 → 231

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Memphis Grizzlies -195 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
New Orleans Pelicans +185 at BovadaBet at Bovada →

Spread

Memphis Grizzlies -6 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
New Orleans Pelicans +6 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →

Total 231

Over -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Under -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →

Memphis is 6-0 and the market still hasn't fully bought in. The Grizzlies are -6 at home against New Orleans, priced at -215 on the moneyline, and the market probability with the margin removed sits at Memphis 66%, New Orleans 34%. That gap is real, but it's not the kind of number that ends the conversation.

The case for Memphis is a clean 6-0 record with a 6-game win streak, a 4-0 ATS mark, and a 4-0 moneyline record. The Grizzlies score 121.2 PPG and allow 106.0, a scoring margin that matches the unblemished record. They're 2-0 at home, and the last four meetings with New Orleans are split 2-2, including a 128-122 Memphis win on Oct 22.

The case for New Orleans is that the Pelicans are not the same team that started the year. They've won two straight, they score 119.7 PPG, and their 50% FG% is higher than Memphis's 46.98%. The problem is the other end: 117.8 allowed per game, and Jordan Poole (G) and Yves Missi (C) are out or doubtful. New Orleans is 0-2 on the road and 3-2 ATS, so the cover rate is there even if the wins aren't.

The number has been steady on the spread, -6 to -6, but the total moved from 235 to 231, and the moneyline went from -195 to -215 on Memphis. Best prices: Memphis ML -195 at BetAnything, New Orleans ML +185 at Bovada. Spread is -6 (-110) at Bovada on both sides. Total 231: Over -110 at BetOnline.ag, Under -110 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick here. No side clears 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. The best number is there for whatever your read is.

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Odds Comparison

Sportsbook	Pelicans	Grizzlies	Spread	O/U
BetOnline.ag
BetUS
Bovada
BetAnything
MyBookie.ag
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair	+197	-197	-6(+100)	231.5(O+100)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 2, 6:03 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies: FAQ

Who is favored in New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?+

Memphis Grizzlies: -6 on the spread and -215 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 66%.

What are the best odds for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?+

When this analysis was written: Memphis Grizzlies -195 at BetAnything and New Orleans Pelicans +185 at Bovada on the moneyline; Memphis Grizzlies -6 (-110) at Bovada and New Orleans Pelicans +6 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 231. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Memphis Grizzlies -6 and was -6 when this analysis was written; the total opened 235 and was 231.

Does GODDS have a pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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