Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Raptors 94, Timberwolves 117: the favorite covers at -3.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Minnesota Timberwolves 0 (moneyline -113)
- Market probability (margin removed): Minnesota Timberwolves 51%, Toronto Raptors 49%
- Line since opening: Minnesota Timberwolves 0 → 0 · Total 230 → 230
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Minnesota Timberwolves -111 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- Toronto Raptors -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Minnesota Timberwolves 0 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Toronto Raptors 0 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 230
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Final: Toronto Raptors 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 117
Against the closing line: Minnesota Timberwolves won and covered -3.5 · Total 211, under 228.5
Game Recap
Toronto Raptors 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 117. The Timberwolves turned a coin-flip into a blowout. Minnesota's defense, allowing just 99.5 points per game coming in, smothered Toronto all night and held the Raptors to 94. The Wolves' offense kept rolling at its 123.0 points per game pace and then some. That 51 to 49 split on the moneyline? It looks silly now. Minnesota won outright and covered -3.5 with room to spare. The total told the other story: 211 points landed well under the 228.5 closing number. The market expected a shootout and got a clinic on the defensive end. The favorite flexed, the under cashed, and the Wolves stay perfect.
Pre-Game Analysis
Two 2-0 teams meet Sunday in Minnesota, and the market is telling you it can't pick a winner either. The Timberwolves are the favorite at 0, priced -113 on the moneyline with the margin removed, a 51 to 49 split against Toronto. That's a coin flip dressed up as a home edge.
The case for Minnesota starts with defense and a clean résumé. The Timberwolves are 2-0, allowing 99.5 points per game while scoring 123.0, and they've covered the spread in their only ATS decision. They've beaten Toronto in each of the last two meetings, including a 128-126 thriller in February and a 115-107 win in March. Donte DiVincenzo is listed out or doubtful, which thins the guard rotation, but the head-to-head record and the defensive number are real.
The case for Toronto is simple: nobody has been better. The Raptors are 2-0 and 7-0 across their last seven, scoring 123.5 and allowing 97.0, the stingiest mark in this matchup. They're 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 on the moneyline, and they already own a road win. Nate Bittle is out or doubtful at center, but Toronto's scoring margin and perfect cover rate make the 49% market share look light.
The number hasn't budged. The spread opened at 0 and sits at 0; the total opened at 230 and sits at 230. Best price on Minnesota's moneyline is -111 at MyBookie.ag; Toronto's is -105 at Bovada. On the spread, Minnesota 0 is -110 at BetAnything; Toronto 0 is -105 at BetOnline.ag. The total of 230 is -110 on both sides at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, and this game doesn't deserve a forced call. If you have a read, take the best number on your side and let the coin land.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 25, 10:13 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves: FAQ
Who is favored in Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+
Minnesota Timberwolves: 0 on the spread and -113 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 51%.
What are the best odds for Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+
When this analysis was written: Minnesota Timberwolves -111 at MyBookie.ag and Toronto Raptors -105 at Bovada on the moneyline; Minnesota Timberwolves 0 (-110) at BetAnything and Toronto Raptors 0 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 230. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Minnesota Timberwolves 0 and was 0 when this analysis was written; the total opened 230 and was 230.
Does GODDS have a pick for Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Toronto Raptors 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 117.
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