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Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Raptors vs. Timberwolves: Minnesota -1 and the Market Can't Separate Them

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Minnesota Timberwolves 0 (moneyline -113)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Minnesota Timberwolves 51%, Toronto Raptors 49%
  • Line since opening: Minnesota Timberwolves 0 → 0 · Total 230 → 230

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 230

Two 2-0 teams meet Sunday in Minnesota, and the market is telling you it can't pick a winner either. The Timberwolves are the favorite at 0, priced -113 on the moneyline with the margin removed, a 51 to 49 split against Toronto. That's a coin flip dressed up as a home edge.

The case for Minnesota starts with defense and a clean résumé. The Timberwolves are 2-0, allowing 99.5 points per game while scoring 123.0, and they've covered the spread in their only ATS decision. They've beaten Toronto in each of the last two meetings, including a 128-126 thriller in February and a 115-107 win in March. Donte DiVincenzo is listed out or doubtful, which thins the guard rotation, but the head-to-head record and the defensive number are real.

The case for Toronto is simple: nobody has been better. The Raptors are 2-0 and 7-0 across their last seven, scoring 123.5 and allowing 97.0, the stingiest mark in this matchup. They're 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 on the moneyline, and they already own a road win. Nate Bittle is out or doubtful at center, but Toronto's scoring margin and perfect cover rate make the 49% market share look light.

The number hasn't budged. The spread opened at 0 and sits at 0; the total opened at 230 and sits at 230. Best price on Minnesota's moneyline is -111 at MyBookie.ag; Toronto's is -105 at Bovada. On the spread, Minnesota 0 is -110 at BetAnything; Toronto 0 is -105 at BetOnline.ag. The total of 230 is -110 on both sides at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, and this game doesn't deserve a forced call. If you have a read, take the best number on your side and let the coin land.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookRaptorsTimberwolvesSpreadO/U
Bovada
BetUS--
BetOnline.ag--
MyBookie.ag
BetAnything--
Everygame---
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+104-104-1(+101)229.5(O-103)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Oct 25, 10:13 AM ET. Lines may have moved.

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves: FAQ

Who is favored in Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+

Minnesota Timberwolves: 0 on the spread and -113 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 51%.

What are the best odds for Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+

When this analysis was written: Minnesota Timberwolves -111 at MyBookie.ag and Toronto Raptors -105 at Bovada on the moneyline; Minnesota Timberwolves 0 (-110) at BetAnything and Toronto Raptors 0 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 230. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Minnesota Timberwolves 0 and was 0 when this analysis was written; the total opened 230 and was 230.

Does GODDS have a pick for Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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