Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Pelicans -5.5 against the Jazz. The market has its number.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (moneyline -225)
- Market probability (margin removed): New Orleans Pelicans 66%, Utah Jazz 34%
- Line since opening: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 → -5.5 · Total 235.5 → 235.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- New Orleans Pelicans -225 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Utah Jazz +185 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Utah Jazz +5.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 235.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
New Orleans hosts Utah on Wednesday as a -5.5 favorite, with the moneyline at -225. The market gives the Pelicans a 66% chance with the margin removed, and the line hasn't budged from the open. That's a number worth understanding before you do anything.
The Pelicans bring a 3-game win streak and a 4-2-0 ATS record. They score 121.9 PPG and allow 120.1, and their 49.6% field goal rate is the cleaner offensive profile in this game. But they're without Dejounte Murray, Jordan Poole and Yves Missi, three rotation pieces that matter. The case for New Orleans is simple: recent form, home court, and a Utah team that hasn't won on the road.
The Jazz are 1-6 and riding a 5-game losing streak. They score 107.0 PPG and allow 118.9, and their 42.8% shooting is the weaker number. They're also missing Jaren Jackson Jr., Trey Alexander and Jusuf Nurkic. The case for Utah is thinner but real: the Pelicans are shorthanded too, and the Jazz have covered in 40% of their games. New Orleans has won all three recent meetings, including a 156-137 track meet in April.
The spread sits at -5.5 with no significant movement. Best price on New Orleans is -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag; best on Utah is +5.5 (-105) at Bovada. The total is 235.5, unchanged since open, with Over -110 and Under -110 both at Bovada. Moneyline: New Orleans -225 and Utah +185, both at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are above.

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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 3, 8:15 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans: FAQ
Who is favored in Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?+
New Orleans Pelicans: -5.5 on the spread and -225 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 66%.
What are the best odds for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?+
When this analysis was written: New Orleans Pelicans -225 at Bovada and Utah Jazz +185 at Bovada on the moneyline; New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Utah Jazz +5.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 235.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 and was -5.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 235.5 and was 235.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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