WINNER - Carolina Hurricanes moneyline
Final: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5
+0.46u
Profit
✅ Hurricanes ML -218 Hits: Fading Pittsburgh's 1-9 Record Pays Again
Godds Pick
Carolina Hurricanes ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -218 at Pinnacle
Carolina is 4-5 in their last 5 games and Pittsburgh is 1-8 on the moneyline this season. The Penguins are missing Sidney Crosby and three defensemen, while Carolina's injuries are less impactful. Pinnacle offers the best price at -218.
Bet at Pinnacle →Community Pulse
Pick Cashed
Final: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5 • Carolina Hurricanes moneyline ML
+0.46u
⚡ Why It Hit
The pick hit because the core premise was correct. Pittsburgh's 1-9 moneyline record this season highlighted a team that consistently finds ways to lose. Carolina, while not elite recently, capitalized on that weakness. The line movement toward Carolina confirmed the value.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN. Carolina Hurricanes moneyline cashes with a 5-4 victory over Pittsburgh. The Penguins' moneyline record now sits at 1-9 this season. That's an 11.1% win rate. Our pre-game call was simple: bet against a team that can't win games. Pittsburgh proved it again. They scored four goals, but their defense and goaltending couldn't hold. Carolina wasn't dominant, but they did enough against a fundamentally flawed opponent. The line moved from -218 to -240 at Pinnacle before puck drop, confirming sharp money agreed with the play. This wasn't a brilliant Carolina performance. It was a predictable Pittsburgh failure. The takeaway is clear. When a team shows a consistent inability to win outright, like Pittsburgh's 1-9 moneyline record, fading them is a profitable strategy until they prove otherwise.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the Carolina Hurricanes moneyline at -218, and Pinnacle is the place to hammer it. This isn't about Carolina's perfect record, it's about Pittsburgh's glaring weaknesses. The Penguins are 1-8 on the moneyline this season. That's a 12.5% win rate. They're coming off a win, but look at their last 10 games: L-L-W-W-L-W-L-L-L-W. That's inconsistent at best. Carolina is 4-5 in their last 5 games. They're not world-beaters, but they're facing a team that can't win games outright.
Pittsburgh's injury report is a disaster. Sidney Crosby is out. That's their franchise player. They're also missing three defensemen: Caleb Jones, Jack St. Ivany, and Peyton Kettles. That's half a defense corps gone. Carolina has injuries too, Shayne Gostisbehere, Nicolas Deslauriers, and Pyotr Kochetkov are out. But losing a goalie and depth players doesn't compare to losing your best forward and multiple blueliners. The Penguins' 33% ATS cover rate shows they're not just losing, they're losing by margin.
Carolina's last 10 games show they can string wins together: L-W-W-W-W-W-L-W-W-L. That's seven wins in ten games. They're on a 1-game loss streak, but that's coming off a strong run. The Penguins beat them 5-1 back in December, but that's with a healthy Crosby. This is a different situation. The line hasn't moved much, which tells us the market isn't overreacting to Pittsburgh's recent win. It's seeing the same flaws we are.
Pinnacle has the best moneyline price at -218. That's the same as GTbets and Bovada, but Pinnacle's reputation for sharp lines makes it the clear choice. You're getting fair value on a home team facing a depleted opponent with a terrible moneyline record. This isn't a lock, but it's a solid play. Take Carolina to win outright.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Mar 9, 10:37 PM ET — lines may have moved
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