Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Pelicans 119, Jazz 120: the favorite survives, but the number holds
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Utah Jazz 0 (moneyline -112)
- Market probability (margin removed): Utah Jazz 50%, New Orleans Pelicans 50%
- Line since opening: Utah Jazz -4 → 0 · Total 241 → 239.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Utah Jazz -105 at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
- New Orleans Pelicans +100 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Utah Jazz 0 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- New Orleans Pelicans 0 (-107) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 239.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Final: New Orleans Pelicans 119, Utah Jazz 120
Against the closing line: Utah Jazz won and landed on -1, a push · Total 239, a push on 239
Game Recap
New Orleans Pelicans 119, Utah Jazz 120. The Jazz held on for a one-point win in a game that was dead even all night. The market had this one pegged as a coin flip, and it played out that way. Utah's defense, allowing 123.0 points per game, did just enough to survive a Pelicans team that kept punching. The spread closed at Jazz -1 after opening at -4, and that four-point move told you the money was on New Orleans. The favorite won outright but landed on -1, a push. The total of 239 also landed on 239, a push. Two pushes, one wild finish.
Pre-Game Analysis
The New Orleans Pelicans visit the Utah Jazz on Friday, and the market has this one dead even. Utah is the nominal favorite at -112 on the moneyline, but with the margin removed the market probability is 50% Utah, 50% New Orleans. The spread opened at Jazz -4 and has been bet all the way to 0. That's a four-point move, and it tells you where the money has gone.
Utah's case starts with home court and a price that's been hammered down. The Jazz allow 123.0 points per game and are on a six-game losing streak, but they still get the game at home, and the market still lists them as the favorite. Utah shoots 46.7% from the field. The Jazz are 1-1 against the spread in their own database. Trey Alexander and Jusuf Nurkic are out or doubtful, which thins the rotation.
New Orleans has the stronger data case. The Pelicans are 7-3 against the spread (70%) in their database, and they've beaten Utah in all three recent meetings: 129-118, 115-105, and 156-137. They score 120.0 points per game, and their 42.7% field goal rate is the number to watch. The Pelicans are also on a six-game losing streak, so both teams are searching for a win.
The number has moved toward New Orleans on both the spread and the moneyline. The total dropped from 241 to 239.5, toward the under. Best prices: Utah moneyline -105 at MyBookie.ag, New Orleans moneyline +100 at Bovada. On the spread, Utah 0 (-110) at BetAnything, New Orleans 0 (-107) at BetOnline.ag. Total 239.5: over -110 at BetAnything, under -110 at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read, take the best number on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Oct 23, 2:57 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz: FAQ
Who is favored in New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?+
Utah Jazz: 0 on the spread and -112 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 50%.
What are the best odds for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?+
When this analysis was written: Utah Jazz -105 at MyBookie.ag and New Orleans Pelicans +100 at Bovada on the moneyline; Utah Jazz 0 (-110) at BetAnything and New Orleans Pelicans 0 (-107) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 239.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Utah Jazz -4 and was 0 when this analysis was written; the total opened 241 and was 239.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
New Orleans Pelicans 119, Utah Jazz 120.
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