Thunder -9.5 against the Suns, and the market isn't blinking.

Oklahoma City hosts Phoenix on Monday as a -9.5 favorite, with the moneyline at -415 and the market probability, margin removed, sitting at 77% Thunder, 23% Suns. The total is 221. That's the price of admission. The rest is up to you.

The case for Oklahoma City is simple: 3-0, a 3-game win streak, 2-0 at home, and a defense allowing just 96.3 points per game. The Thunder are 2-0 on the moneyline and 1-1 against the spread, and they've won five of their last eight. The concern is personnel: Jalen Williams, Otega Oweh, Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber are all out or doubtful. That's a lot of guard and center depth missing against a Phoenix team that can score.

The case for Phoenix is the offense. The Suns put up 107.0 points per game and shoot 47.1% from the field, a higher mark than Oklahoma City's 42.6%. They're 1-1 on the season and coming off a win, but they're 0-1 on the road, 0-1 against the spread, and allowing 123.0 points per game. The head-to-head is tight: Oklahoma City has won 3 of the last 5, including a 138-89 blowout on Dec. 10, but Phoenix took the most recent meeting 108-105 on Jan. 4.

The number hasn't moved. The spread opened at -9.5 and sits at -9.5; the total opened at 221 and sits at 221. For the best price on Oklahoma City's moneyline, MyBookie.ag has -410. For Phoenix, BetAnything has +335. On the spread, MyBookie.ag has Thunder -9.5 (-110) and BetAnything has Suns +9.5 (-104). The total is 221, with the over and under both -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are above.