Cavaliers at Knicks -7: New York's home dominance is too strong to ignore

The God of Odds likes New York Knicks -7 at -105 and LowVig is the place to hammer it.

The Knicks have been a different animal at Madison Square Garden this season, posting a 30-10 home record. That's not a fluke. They shoot 51.7% from the field, a massive edge over Cleveland's 46.2% clip. And their assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.11 dwarfs the Cavs' 1.35. That means the Knicks take care of the ball and generate cleaner looks.

Cleveland's ATS record is putrid: 252-473-0, a 35% cover rate. On the road, they're even worse. Meanwhile, New York covers at a 57% clip overall. The Knicks are also riding a 9-1 stretch in their last 10 games, while the Cavs have been inconsistent, going 5-5 in that span. Both teams are banged up, but the Knicks have more depth to absorb injuries to OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, and Miles McBride. Cleveland is missing Jarrett Allen, Jaylon Tyson, and Craig Porter Jr., which hurts their frontcourt and bench.

Line movement has been flat at -7, but that's because the market already respects this number. Sharp money isn't moving it because the value is baked in. The Knicks are simply the better team at home, with a decisive shooting and ball-handling advantage.

LowVig has the best spread price at -7 (-105). Bovada matches the -105 but the juice is identical. BetOnline and MyBookie are at -109 and -110 respectively. Why pay more? Take the superior price at LowVig and trust the Knicks to cover at home.