Nets +3.5 at home against the Pacers. The market is still sleeping on this number.

The God of Odds likes Brooklyn Nets +3.5 at -108, and Pinnacle is the place to hammer it.

Look at the records. Brooklyn sits at 43-37. They cover the spread at a 64% clip, going 102-58-0 against the number this season. Their last 10 games show a team that knows how to win, posting a 7-3 record. They score 116.3 points per game and allow 111.3. At home, they're 21-19. This isn't a fluke.

Now look at Indiana. They're 18-61. They cover the spread just 39% of the time, with a 50-79-0 ATS record. They've lost 7 of their last 10. They allow 120.8 points per game. On the road, they're 7-33. The Pacers have 10 key players listed as out or doubtful, including Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam. The Nets have 11 players out, but the market has already priced that in. Our model sees a +14.7-point edge here, projecting Brooklyn by 11.7 points against a market line of just 3.

Pinnacle offers Nets +3.5 at -108. That's the best spread price available. Take the points with a team that consistently beats the number against an opponent that consistently fails to. This line should be wider.