Timberwolves -12.5 at Pacers. The model says it's not enough.
Godds Pick
Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5
Spread · Best odds: -106 at Pinnacle
The Timberwolves are 46-32 with a solid 21-17 road record, while the Pacers are 18-60 with an 11-27 home mark. Indiana has 11 key injuries and is 4-6 in their last 10 games, while Minnesota's 2 injuries are already priced into this line. The model shows a +17.0 point edge over the market spread.
Bet at Pinnacle →Community Pulse
The God of Odds likes Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 at -106, and Pinnacle is the place to hammer it.
This isn't about Minnesota being perfect. They're missing Jaden McDaniels and Anthony Edwards, and they're 4-6 in their last 10 games. But look at what they're walking into. The Indiana Pacers are 18-60 this season. They're 11-27 at home. They've lost 8 of their last 10 games. And their injury report reads like a hospital ward, with 11 key players out including Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, and Andrew Nembhard.
Minnesota is 46-32 overall with a 21-17 road record. They average 117.5 points per game and allow 114.2. Indiana scores 112.5 PPG but gives up 120.7. The Timberwolves have covered 51% of their games this season, while the Pacers cover just 39% of the time. The head-to-head favors Minnesota too, they won 114-110 back in October.
The market has this at 12.5 points. Our model sees it closer to 4.5. That's a +17.0 point edge staring you in the face. Pinnacle has the best price at -106. Take the Timberwolves and lay the points. This line doesn't reflect the canyon between these two teams right now.
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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Apr 7, 1:48 AM ET — lines may have moved
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