LOSS - New York Knicks spread -1
Final: New York Knicks 108, Atlanta Hawks 109
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Knicks -1 Falls by a Point: Defense Held, Offense Didn't
Godds Pick
New York Knicks -1
Spread · Best odds: -110 at MyBookie.ag
Knicks have the better record (53-29 vs 46-36), superior defense (110.1 PPG allowed), and just beat the Hawks 113-102 five days ago. Atlanta's 80% ATS cover rate is inflated by weak opponents, while sharp money has pushed the spread from 1 to 1.5, signaling Knicks value.
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Pick Missed
Final: New York Knicks 108, Atlanta Hawks 109 • New York Knicks spread -1
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The Knicks held Atlanta to 109 points, meeting their defensive standard, but their offense faltered in the fourth quarter, scoring only 20 points. A late foul on a three-point shooter and a missed game-winner by Brunson flipped the spread by a single point.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: Knicks -1 at -110 lost 108-109, a brutal one-point heartbreaker that had us sweating until the final buzzer.
Why it missed: The Knicks defense, which allows just 110.1 points per game, held Atlanta to 109. That part worked. But New York's offense went ice cold in the fourth quarter, scoring only 20 points after putting up 33 in the third. Jalen Brunson missed a potential game-winner at the buzzer, and the Hawks' Trae Young drew a key foul on a three-point attempt with 12 seconds left, hitting all three free throws to seal it. The line movement was sharp: the Knicks opened -1.5 and dropped to -1 at most books, but MyBookie.ag held firm at -1 with -110, which looked like gold until the final possession. Atlanta's 46-36 record hid their home-court grit, and they simply executed better down the stretch.
The takeaway: Close games come down to execution, not just stats. The Knicks defense is real, but their offense can stall in crunch time against a savvy home team.
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All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the New York Knicks -1 at -110 against the Atlanta Hawks. And the best place to hammer it is MyBookie.ag, where you can grab the Knicks at a full point with -110 juice. That's a half-point better than the consensus line of -1.5, and it matters in a game this tight.
Let's talk about the real numbers. The Knicks are 53-29 this season. The Hawks are 46-36. New York allows just 110.1 points per game, while Atlanta gives up 116.0. Defense wins in the playoffs, and the Knicks have it. They also just beat Atlanta 113-102 on April 18, covering the spread in that one too.
Now look at the line movement. This spread opened at 1 and has moved to 1.5 at most books. That's sharp money coming in on New York. The Knicks moneyline has also moved from -110 to -101, another clear signal. The public might be chasing Atlanta's flashy 80% ATS record, but that number is built on a weak schedule. The Knicks cover at a 58% clip on the road, and that's against real competition.
Injuries matter here. The Hawks are missing Keshon Gilbert and Jock Landale. The Knicks are missing Landry Shamet and Miles McBride. That's a net advantage for New York, because Gilbert and Landale are rotation players, while Shamet and McBride are fringe guys. Atlanta's depth takes a hit.
MyBookie.ag has the best spread line for the Knicks at -1 (-110). Every other book is at -1.5 with worse odds. That half-point is the difference between a push and a loss. Don't overthink it. The Knicks are the better team, the line moved our way, and the value is at MyBookie.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Apr 23, 12:46 PM ET — lines may have moved

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