LOSS - New York Knicks spread -11.5
Final: New York Knicks 101, Indiana Pacers 92
-1.00u
Profit
❌ Knicks -11.5 Falls Short: Pacers Show Fight in Loss
Godds Pick
New York Knicks -11.5
Spread · Best odds: -106 at LowVig.ag
The Knicks are covering spreads at a **76% rate** this season (13-4-0 ATS). They've won 4 of their last 5 games while the Pacers are on a **10-game losing streak** and missing three key starters including Tyrese Haliburton. This line isn't big enough.
Bet at LowVig.ag →Community Pulse
Pick Missed
Final: New York Knicks 101, Indiana Pacers 92 • New York Knicks spread -11.5
-1.00u
🔍 Why It Missed
The pick missed because the Knicks won by only 9 points, falling short of the -11.5 spread. Indiana played tougher than their 10-game losing streak suggested, limiting New York's margin in a game where the spread proved too steep for a road cover.
Post-Game Analysis
❌ LOSS: The Knicks won 101-92 but failed to cover the -11.5 spread. We took a confident position on New York at -11.5 (-106) at LowVig.ag, and it didn't work out. The Knicks built a solid lead but couldn't extend it enough against a Pacers team that showed more fight than their recent form suggested. Indiana's defense tightened in the second half, and New York's offense stalled at key moments, leaving them just short of the cover. This wasn't about the Knicks playing poorly; they got the win. It was about the spread being too aggressive for a road game against a desperate opponent. The Pacers' 10-game losing streak created an expectation of collapse, but they played with pride at home and kept it competitive. We trusted the trend, but sometimes trends break when a team hits rock bottom and finds a spark. The value at LowVig.ag was real, but the game script didn't cooperate. The takeaway: Even dominant trends can falter in single games, especially on the road against motivated underdogs. We'll stay sharp and adjust.
Transparent. Every pick tracked. Every result shown.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes the New York Knicks -11.5 at -106, and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it. This isn't a close call. It's a system play with every signal pointing in one direction.
Look at the form. The Knicks have won 4 of their last 5 games. That's winning basketball. The Pacers have lost 10 straight games. That's a team in complete freefall. Recent history shows these teams split their last two meetings, but that was a different Pacers team. They're not the same squad taking the floor tonight.
The injury report tells the real story. Indiana is missing three key players: Ivica Zubac, Johnny Furphy, and most importantly, Tyrese Haliburton. That's their floor general gone. The Knicks are only missing Miles McBride. That's a manageable absence. When you combine Indiana's terrible form with their depleted roster, you get a team that shouldn't stay within double digits.
Now look at the spread coverage. The Knicks are 13-4-0 against the spread this season. That's a 76% cover rate. They're consistently beating the number. The market has this at 11.5 points with minimal movement. That line doesn't reflect how lopsided this matchup actually is. The Knicks have proven they can cover spreads, and they're facing a broken opponent.
The value is clear at LowVig.ag with Knicks -11.5 at -106. That's the best price on the board for this play. Other books are charging -110 for the same line. When you're backing a team with this kind of ATS dominance against an opponent in this much trouble, you take the better number. This is about exploiting a clear mismatch, and the books haven't adjusted enough.
LowVig.ag
Odds Comparison
Odds as of Mar 13, 1:16 AM ET — lines may have moved
LowVig.ag