Spurs -3.5 against the Blazers. The numbers don't lie, even with the injuries.
Godds Pick
San Antonio Spurs -3.5
Spread · Best odds: -106 at LowVig.ag
The Spurs are 60-19 overall, 30-7 at home, and cover the spread at a 97% rate. Portland has seven key injuries including Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe, while the Spurs have only two. The model projects an 8.8-point win, giving us a 5.3-point edge over the market line of -3.5.
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The God of Odds likes San Antonio Spurs -3.5 at -106, and LowVig.ag is the place to hammer it.
This line is a gift. The Spurs are 60-19 this season. They're 30-7 at home. They cover the spread at a 97% clip, going 60-2 against the number. Their last 10 games? Nine wins. They average 119.7 points per game and allow just 111.3. This is a dominant team playing in their building.
Portland is in decent form, but look at the injury report. The Blazers have seven players listed as out or doubtful. That includes Damian Lillard and Shaedon Sharpe. Their roster is decimated. The Spurs have two injuries, both to the same player, David Jones Garcia. The market has priced in Portland's missing pieces, but it hasn't priced in San Antonio's sheer dominance.
Our model sees this as an 8.8-point Spurs win. The line is -3.5. That's a 5.3-point edge staring you in the face. The Spurs also hold a significant assist-to-turnover ratio advantage, 2.20 to 1.51. They control the game. They win the game. They cover the number.
Get this at LowVig.ag. They have the best price on the market at -106. Every other major book is at -109 or worse. That's extra value on a pick that already has maximum confidence. Take the Spurs and lay the points.

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Odds as of Apr 8, 1:49 AM ET — lines may have moved

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